Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 1.023987 1.154372 1.296546 1.463336 1.653959 1.865386 2.118158
2025-12-28 0.851992 1.030472 1.240591 1.507242 1.838085 2.236956 2.757094
2026-01-04 0.729799 0.934704 1.191560 1.539502 2.002080 2.600849 3.442577
2026-01-11 0.640164 0.860354 1.151414 1.568315 2.156669 2.967056 4.184641
2026-01-18 0.568100 0.795721 1.110695 1.584307 2.288705 3.313928 4.949135
2026-01-25 0.499865 0.725485 1.050278 1.559761 2.353241 3.565932 5.606400
2026-02-01 0.433895 0.649325 0.970232 1.492518 2.339496 3.691072 6.076387
2026-02-08 0.385272 0.592944 0.912151 1.449662 2.354717 3.858564 6.634944
2026-02-15 0.346978 0.547977 0.866016 1.418786 2.382847 4.046913 7.253357
2026-02-22 0.329158 0.533518 0.866478 1.464087 2.544461 4.483728 8.389780
2026-03-01 0.308000 0.511118 0.850974 1.479144 2.652882 4.837403 9.423019
2026-03-08 0.281957 0.477744 0.813151 1.449538 2.674312 5.029383 10.161814
2026-03-15 0.255399 0.441986 0.769393 1.407455 2.673333 5.190856 10.895490
2026-03-22 0.245802 0.435539 0.777543 1.464441 2.874892 5.789662 12.696680
2026-03-29 0.234362 0.424552 0.776136 1.502656 3.043984 6.348154 14.522657
2026-04-05 0.223066 0.412655 0.771647 1.533936 3.202715 6.909206 16.472260
2026-04-12 0.211177 0.398410 0.761024 1.551019 3.332694 7.425984 18.421656
2026-04-19 0.196140 0.376552 0.733034 1.527694 3.368429 7.728457 19.878047
2026-04-26 0.178420 0.347731 0.688139 1.462246 3.297676 7.763025 20.615122
2026-05-03 0.164662 0.325804 0.655497 1.420465 3.277580 7.920369 21.732886
2026-05-10 0.153219 0.307703 0.629255 1.390324 3.281806 8.140633 23.083875
2026-05-17 0.149035 0.304522 0.634718 1.434654 3.478288 8.899025 26.241685
2026-05-24 0.142727 0.296215 0.628129 1.449391 3.600871 9.477749 28.976748